The Chiefs' defense is known for taking away an offense’s primary target, and with their strong secondary, Nico Collins is likely to have a tough time clearing this line. Last week, Tank Dell emerged as Houston’s leading receiver during a rough passing performance versus Miami, and this trend could continue. While Dell’s boom-or-bust nature makes his props risky, Collins’ inflated line gives us a safer play. If Houston’s passing game struggles again, the under feels like the best call.

New England’s defense is consistently exposed by tight ends, allowing an average of 53.1 receiving yards per game to the position. Just last week, Trey McBride torched them, and Dalton Kincaid could be next. With Christian Gonzalez likely shadowing Amari Cooper, Buffalo will look to exploit mismatches in the middle of the field. Returning from injury, Kincaid’s soft matchup is the perfect opportunity to ease him back into the offense, and his line is too low to ignore.

The Jaguars' defense is notorious for giving up yardage in bunches, and Jakobi Meyers is on a roll, asserting himself as a top option in the Raiders' offense. Aiden O’Connell’s return at QB is an unfortunate upgrade for this passing attack, setting up Meyers for a productive day. Simply put: Jacksonville’s defense is bad, and Meyers is not.

Bryce Young has surpassed one passing touchdown only once this season. Arizona’s defense hasn’t allowed more than one since Week 13 against Sam Darnold, and before that, not since Miami in Week 8. The combination of Young’s struggles and Arizona’s defensive consistency makes this under a strong play.

JSN is on fire, and the Vikings' defense is a pass funnel, ranking bottom five in passing yardage allowed. Their high blitz rate and Seattle’s banged-up O-line mean Geno Smith will need to get the ball out quickly. JSN’s reliability as a target makes him the prime beneficiary in this spot. While DK Metcalf also has a strong matchup, Smith-Njigba has the data and momentum to back this over.

New England’s run defense has been atrocious, and James Cook is in a great position to take advantage. While there’s a risk he gets pulled early if Buffalo builds a big lead, one long run or a few chunk plays could be enough to hit this line. The upside far outweighs the risk here.

The Lions’ elite run defense forces teams to pass, and Rome Odunze is building strong chemistry with Caleb Williams. Injuries across the Lions’ roster further weaken their defense, creating an opportunity for Odunze to thrive despite Keenan Allen’s continued involvement. With such a low line, Odunze is worth the play.

Saquon Barkley is built for games like this. Washington’s defense has improved against the pass, but their vulnerability to a dominant rushing attack plays into Barkley’s strengths. With Marshon Lattimore likely shadowing A.J. Brown, the Giants will lean on Barkley to carry the offense. Massive line, but Barkley has the talent to deliver.

The Cowboys' defense is nowhere near the powerhouse it used to be, and Mike Evans remains the clear focal point of Tampa Bay’s offense. With rookie Jalen McMillan emerging as a complementary piece, Evans should still have plenty of opportunities to shred this soft secondary. Another 1,000-yard season is in sight, and Evans won’t slow down here.

Cooper Rush has made CeeDee Lamb his unquestioned number one target over the past three weeks, with Lamb hitting this line in every game. Against a weak Tampa Bay defense and with no real competition for targets, Lamb is as reliable as they come.